As to the original issue, I got it fixed this AM, and (spoiler) it wasn't the resistor.
When I pulled the hush panel down, everything looked good, so I left the first resistor in place and just plugged in the new one. No change. Pulled the original resistor, looked at the connections, nada. I had the system powered up and as I was moving wiring around to get the new resistor out of the way, the fan started up. Turned everything off, looked at everything, nothing looked odd, system was now working normally.
I was just on the verge of declaring a gremlin in the first resistor when, for whatever reason, I decided to pull the fan. To be honest, I don't love putting the fans back in, for whatever reason what SHOULD be a quick thing almost always turns into a fight for me, so I hesitated, but figured it would bug me down the road if I didn't check it. Popped the fan out, looked at it, was fine, and as I went to put it back in the mount, I disconnected the fan.
Which was where the problem was.
The vehicle-side fan connector had melted INSIDE the plug. The exterior looked fine, no discoloration or anything that looked off, but it was distorted just enough to create a small arc, which continued to grow as the system pulled more amps over the connection. More arc, more heat, more distortion, until it eventually broke the connection. When I bumped the wire, it moved just enough to re-establish the connection, temporarily resolving the problem. If I hadn't pulled the fan and looked at the interior of the plug, could have been much worse down the road.
The new resistor came with a new pigtail, so I spliced the new connector into the harness, cleaned the pins, plugged everything back in, et voila. Working fan. I let it run for about ten minutes, checked it again, nothing changed, amp draw looked OK, so declaring this one done, at least for now.
Thanks y'all for the assist, moving on to calibrations research.